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Applications of mathematical models to public health policymaking
澳门新葡8455最新网站:2011年05月28日 00:00 点击数:

报告人:冯芷兰

报告地点:澳门新葡8455最新网站615

报告澳门新葡8455最新网站:2011年05月30日(星期一)15:30—16:30

邀请人:

报告摘要:

Mathematical modeling has affected vaccination policy throughout the developed world and, via the WHO, elsewhere. Policy goals vary with disease and setting, but preventing outbreaks is common. This is attained by exceeding the population immunity threshold. While immunity seems to be at or above the threshold for many vaccine-preventable diseases in the US, policymakers are concerned about heterogeneity due to personal-belief exemptions to vaccination. We use a mathematical model to evaluate the impact of such heterogeneity on our efforts to prevent disease outbreaks. We have also used a model which includes seasonally forced transmission rates to predict 2009 pandemic H1N1 influenza in the US.

主讲人概况:

Zhilan Feng,美国Purdue University教授,研究方向为微分方程及动力系统、数学生物学。现为Journal of Theoretical Biology、Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering、SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics的编委。

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